Tottenham Hotspur vs Watford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
9.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tottenham Hotspur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
BHA
1 - 2
TOT
18%
22%
60%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2018 |
INT
2 - 1
TOT
38%
25%
37%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
TOT
1 - 2
LIV
32%
24%
45%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
WAT
2 - 1
TOT
17%
21%
61%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2018 |
MUD
0 - 3
TOT
37%
26%
37%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
FUL
1 - 1
WAT
44%
26%
31%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
WAT
1 - 2
MUD
25%
25%
50%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
WAT
2 - 1
TOT
17%
21%
61%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2018 |
REA
0 - 2
WAT
15%
21%
64%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
WAT
2 - 1
CRY
40%
26%
33%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |