ToTe vs MPS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.7%
10.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ToTe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
TOT
3 - 0
HEL
80%
12%
8%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
HYP
0 - 3
TOT
58%
20%
23%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +2 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
TOT
4 - 1
NOU
88%
8%
4%
|
30 | 13 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
PPJ
2 - 2
TOT
11%
15%
74%
|
30 | 11 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
FCL
1 - 2
TOT
4%
11%
85%
|
30 | 5 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
MPS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2023 |
RPS
3 - 1
MPS
18%
18%
64%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2023 |
MPS
2 - 0
PVA
51%
20%
29%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
MPS
1 - 2
HEL
66%
17%
17%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2023 |
MPS
4 - 2
TUP
81%
12%
8%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
HEL
2 - 0
MPS
32%
21%
47%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |