ToTe vs EPS II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.5%
18.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ToTe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2021 |
EIF
1 - 5
TOT
17%
20%
63%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
FCE
1 - 5
TOT
66%
17%
17%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +2 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
TOT
1 - 2
FCK
63%
19%
18%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
SEX
1 - 1
TOT
62%
19%
19%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2021 |
ESP
0 - 0
TOT
48%
21%
31%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
EPS II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2021 |
EPS
2 - 1
ESP
43%
22%
35%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2021 |
EPS
2 - 0
TOO
71%
16%
13%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
EST
1 - 3
EPS
14%
17%
68%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
FCK
3 - 1
EPS
45%
22%
34%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -2 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
FCE
6 - 1
EPS
63%
18%
19%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |