Toscal vs RSD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
23.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toscal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1979 |
LPA
3 - 0
TCF
72%
18%
10%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1979 |
TCF
2 - 0
VDB
57%
23%
20%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1979 |
CAR
3 - 0
TCF
66%
20%
15%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1979 |
TCF
2 - 1
SAL
63%
21%
17%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1979 |
MAN
1 - 0
TCF
59%
23%
18%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1979 |
ALC
0 - 0
COL
68%
21%
11%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1979 |
NUM
3 - 2
ALC
60%
24%
16%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1979 |
ALC
4 - 0
LEG
59%
24%
17%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +2 |
| 08 Apr. 1979 |
CIE
3 - 1
ALC
52%
24%
24%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -2 |
| 01 Apr. 1979 |
ALC
3 - 0
ACF
60%
24%
16%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +2 |