Toscal vs Albacete analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
28.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toscal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1977 |
PLA
1 - 1
TCF
54%
22%
24%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
TCF
4 - 0
ARG
80%
12%
8%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 1977 |
CDT
2 - 1
TCF
58%
20%
22%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 1977 |
TCF
3 - 1
LEG
89%
7%
3%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1977 |
COL
1 - 0
TCF
68%
17%
14%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Albacete
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1977 |
ALB
1 - 0
ZAM
61%
26%
13%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
GUA
0 - 2
ALB
38%
26%
36%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +2 |
| 08 Dec. 1977 |
PLA
1 - 1
ALB
33%
27%
41%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 1977 |
ALB
1 - 0
ARG
82%
12%
6%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1977 |
CDT
1 - 2
ALB
41%
25%
34%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +1 |