Tortola CF vs Recas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.8%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
11.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tortola CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
TOR
4 - 2
VSA
65%
18%
18%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
TRE
6 - 1
TOR
61%
19%
20%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
TOR
0 - 1
SAG
72%
16%
12%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
RAY
2 - 1
TOR
33%
21%
46%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
TOR
1 - 0
IBE
80%
12%
8%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Recas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
YUN
0 - 1
REC
47%
24%
29%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
REC
2 - 0
SIG
60%
20%
20%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
GPR
2 - 0
REC
79%
13%
8%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
REC
2 - 2
CAL
43%
23%
34%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
MEN
3 - 2
REC
45%
23%
33%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -1 |