Campeonato de Portugal Grupo C. Jor. 33

Torreense vs Benfica Castelo Branco analysis

Torreense Benfica Castelo Branco
37 ELO 44
-16.1% Tilt -22.7%
1888º General ELO ranking 5290º
31º Country ELO ranking 87º
ELO win probability
29.2%
Torreense
27%
Draw
43.8%
Benfica Castelo Branco

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.2%
Win probability
Torreense
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
43.8%
Win probability
Benfica Castelo Branco
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Torreense
+12%
-28%
Benfica Castelo Branco

ELO progression

Torreense
Benfica Castelo Branco
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Torreense
Torreense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Mar. 2020
TOR
Torreense
2 - 1
Anadia
ANA
21%
25%
54%
36 46 10 0
29 Feb. 2020
BMA
Beira Mar SC
2 - 0
Torreense
TOR
80%
15%
5%
36 49 13 0
22 Feb. 2020
TOR
Torreense
0 - 0
Marinhense
MAR
46%
24%
30%
36 36 0 0
16 Feb. 2020
OLI
Oliveira Hospital
1 - 1
Torreense
TOR
50%
24%
26%
36 36 0 0
08 Feb. 2020
TOR
Torreense
2 - 1
Oleiros
OLE
37%
28%
35%
35 40 5 +1

Matches

Benfica Castelo Branco
Benfica Castelo Branco
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Mar. 2020
BEN
Benfica Castelo Branco
1 - 0
União de Leiria
UDL
47%
25%
28%
44 42 2 0
01 Mar. 2020
CAL
Caldas
0 - 2
Benfica Castelo Branco
BEN
36%
27%
37%
42 39 3 +2
23 Feb. 2020
BEN
Benfica Castelo Branco
2 - 0
União Santarém
USA
72%
18%
11%
42 30 12 0
16 Feb. 2020
ANA
Anadia
2 - 1
Benfica Castelo Branco
BEN
47%
26%
26%
43 45 2 -1
09 Feb. 2020
BEN
Benfica Castelo Branco
6 - 0
Fontinhas
GDF
74%
17%
9%
43 28 15 0
X