Torreense vs Sertanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
21.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torreense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
UDL
2 - 1
TOR
73%
18%
10%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
TOR
0 - 0
IRI
75%
15%
10%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
OLI
1 - 1
TOR
50%
26%
24%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
TOR
0 - 2
LOU
56%
24%
20%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -2 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
ALC
0 - 0
TOR
10%
18%
72%
|
45 | 19 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
SER
1 - 4
VIL
16%
25%
59%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
OLE
1 - 1
SER
47%
26%
27%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
SER
1 - 1
CAL
38%
29%
34%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
SIN
1 - 3
SER
60%
22%
18%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +2 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
SER
1 - 1
ALV
54%
23%
24%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |