Canadian Championship . Semi-finals
Global 5-2
Toronto FC vs Ottawa Fury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
8.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toronto FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2017 |
TOR
5 - 0
COC
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2017 |
OTT
2 - 1
TOR
12%
20%
68%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
RBN
1 - 1
TOR
38%
26%
36%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
TOR
3 - 2
MIN
72%
18%
10%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2017 |
COC
1 - 2
TOR
41%
25%
34%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ottawa Fury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2017 |
OTT
5 - 3
RIC
61%
24%
15%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2017 |
OTT
2 - 1
TOR
12%
20%
68%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
NYO
3 - 4
OTT
45%
27%
28%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
OTT
0 - 1
PIT
59%
23%
18%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2017 |
EDM
2 - 3
OTT
38%
26%
36%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |