Canadian Championship Semi-finals
Global 4-2
Toronto FC vs CF Montréal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
35.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toronto FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2016 |
RBN
3 - 0
TOR
56%
23%
22%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
TOR
0 - 0
COC
49%
25%
27%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2016 |
TOR
1 - 1
NYC
51%
26%
24%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
TOR
3 - 4
VAN
45%
26%
28%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
TOR
1 - 0
DAL
37%
25%
38%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
CF Montréal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2016 |
MON
3 - 2
GAL
34%
26%
40%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
ORL
2 - 1
MON
44%
25%
31%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
MON
1 - 1
PHU
43%
26%
31%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
COC
4 - 4
MON
43%
26%
31%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
MON
2 - 2
COR
47%
26%
28%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |