Toronto FC vs CF Montréal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
33.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toronto FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
TOR
0 - 1
DCU
36%
28%
37%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
RBN
4 - 1
TOR
58%
22%
19%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
AGU
0 - 3
TOR
37%
24%
39%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
GAL
4 - 2
TOR
65%
20%
15%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
TOR
1 - 1
PHU
41%
28%
31%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CF Montréal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
HOD
1 - 1
MON
56%
24%
21%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
MON
0 - 0
KCW
29%
28%
44%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
CFS
3 - 1
MON
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
COC
2 - 1
MON
53%
25%
22%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
MON
3 - 0
DCU
38%
28%
35%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |