Tooting and Mitcham vs Bury Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.2%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
65%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tooting and Mitcham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
HEN
5 - 0
TOO
78%
15%
8%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2012 |
TOO
0 - 6
WEA
17%
22%
61%
|
23 | 48 | 25 | -2 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
TOO
1 - 1
MAR
24%
23%
53%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
3 - 0
TOO
70%
19%
12%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
TOO
1 - 2
HOR
16%
22%
62%
|
23 | 50 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Bury Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
BUR
1 - 1
CRA
49%
23%
28%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
AVE
1 - 2
BUR
14%
21%
65%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
BUR
2 - 3
LOW
44%
24%
32%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
MET
0 - 1
BUR
29%
25%
46%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2012 |
BUR
2 - 2
WIN
65%
20%
15%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |