Tondela vs União Madeira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
21%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tondela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
BEL
4 - 0
TON
52%
26%
21%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
TON
3 - 1
NAV
45%
28%
27%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2012 |
BEN
2 - 2
TON
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
LAG
0 - 5
TON
12%
20%
69%
|
64 | 28 | 36 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
TON
2 - 1
BRA
62%
23%
15%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
FEI
3 - 1
UNM
50%
28%
23%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
UNM
0 - 1
BEL
43%
27%
30%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2012 |
NAV
0 - 1
UNM
58%
24%
17%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
UNM
3 - 1
BEN
79%
14%
7%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2012 |
UNM
0 - 1
EST
41%
25%
35%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |