Tondela vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
64.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tondela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
MAR
2 - 1
TON
52%
26%
22%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
TON
1 - 1
RIO
22%
26%
52%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
MOR
1 - 2
TON
63%
23%
14%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2020 |
TON
1 - 0
SPB
13%
21%
66%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2020 |
GFC
3 - 2
TON
49%
27%
25%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2020 |
SPB
0 - 1
SAN
76%
16%
8%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
FCP
3 - 1
SPB
60%
21%
19%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
SPB
2 - 2
VAD
68%
19%
13%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2020 |
SLB
2 - 1
SPB
64%
19%
17%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2020 |
SPB
2 - 1
FCP
32%
25%
44%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |