Tondela vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
30.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tondela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
BMA
0 - 0
TON
46%
27%
28%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
TON
2 - 0
TRO
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
ATL
0 - 0
TON
24%
28%
48%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
TON
2 - 0
BEN
36%
27%
36%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +2 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
POR
1 - 0
TON
51%
27%
23%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
PEN
1 - 1
MOR
38%
29%
34%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
MAR
0 - 0
PEN
21%
28%
51%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
PEN
3 - 1
SAN
59%
25%
17%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
BRA
1 - 1
PEN
32%
29%
38%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
PEN
1 - 1
AVE
47%
28%
25%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |