Tondela vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
39.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tondela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
TON
2 - 1
RIO
23%
28%
49%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
VIT
2 - 1
TON
74%
18%
9%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
TON
0 - 2
EST
26%
27%
47%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
MOR
1 - 1
TON
61%
23%
16%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
TON
1 - 4
SCP
11%
21%
68%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
NAC
0 - 1
MOR
47%
26%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
EST
0 - 1
NAC
54%
25%
21%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 2
VIT
29%
27%
44%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
SCP
2 - 0
NAC
74%
17%
9%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 1
PAÇ
31%
26%
43%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |