Tona vs Berga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
12.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
MAT
1 - 2
TON
40%
24%
37%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
TON
1 - 0
PAR
28%
23%
49%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
TRO
2 - 2
TON
12%
19%
70%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
TON
3 - 0
GIR
76%
16%
8%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
OAR
0 - 4
TON
14%
20%
66%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Berga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
BER
4 - 0
VIC
25%
23%
52%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
FRA
3 - 0
BER
58%
22%
20%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
MAT
1 - 0
BER
70%
17%
12%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
BER
0 - 1
PAR
20%
21%
60%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
TRO
2 - 2
BER
21%
23%
56%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | -1 |