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Série C Brazil. Group A, Matchday 1

Tombense Paysandu
25 ELO 42
14% Tilt -2%
3980º General ELO ranking 1720º
257º Country ELO ranking 128º
ELO win probability
42.6%
Tombense
26.5%
Draw
30.9%
Paysandu

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
Tombense
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
30.9%
Win probability
Paysandu
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

Basic stats

1
1
GF
1
1
GC
25
42
ELO
1.4
1.2
EXP
Key
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Tombense
Their league position
Paysandu
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
4
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Volta Redonda
6
21
12%
Manaus
6
21
12%
Altos
4
19
10%
Botafogo PB
4
19
10%
Floresta EC
4
19
10%
Ferroviário
4
20
10%
Paysandu
4
19
10%
Tombense
3
18
11%
Santa Cruz
1
17
11%
Jacuipense
10º
1
16
10º
13%
Expected probabilities
Tombense
Paysandu
Next phase
39% 40%
Mid-table
40% 41%
Relegation
21% 19%

ELO progression

Paysandu
PAY
Tombense
TOM
Jacuipense
JAC
Botafogo PB
BOT
Campinense
CAM
Altos
ALT
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Tombense
Tombense
1%
X%
2%
ELO TOM ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 May. 2021
ATM
Atl. Mineiro
1 - 1
Tombense
TOM
86%
10%
4%
351 2238 1887 +1
01 May. 2021
TOM
Tombense
0 - 3
Atl. Mineiro
ATM
10%
16%
74%
352 2230 -1878 0
25 Apr. 2021
TOM
Tombense
2 - 0
Pouso Alegre
POA
38%
28%
34%
350 719 -369 +1
18 Apr. 2021
UBE
Uberlândia
1 - 1
Tombense
TOM
71%
18%
11%
350 1438 1088 0
14 Apr. 2021
BOA
Boa EC
1 - 4
Tombense
TOM
51%
25%
23%
349 505 156 +1

Matches

Paysandu
Paysandu
1%
X%
2%
ELO PAY ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 May. 2021
PAY
Paysandu
4 - 1
Tuna Luso
TUN
29%
26%
45%
735 1498 -763 +2
16 May. 2021
TUN
Tuna Luso
4 - 2
Paysandu
PAY
63%
21%
16%
735 1497 762 0
12 May. 2021
PAY
Paysandu
1 - 1
Castanhal
CAS
45%
27%
28%
735 768 -33 0
09 May. 2021
CAS
Castanhal
0 - 0
Paysandu
PAY
47%
27%
26%
735 768 33 0
06 May. 2021
PAY
Paysandu
1 - 0
Bragantino PA
BPA
40%
28%
32%
734 986 -252 +1