Tombense vs Caldense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
20%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
10.6%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tombense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
TOM
3 - 1
VIL
68%
21%
11%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2019 |
TOM
3 - 0
SPO
15%
21%
64%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | +2 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
BOA
1 - 0
TOM
43%
26%
30%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
TFC
0 - 0
TOM
19%
22%
59%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2019 |
TOM
1 - 2
AMF
22%
26%
51%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
CAL
2 - 1
BOA
19%
27%
55%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
CAL
0 - 1
ATM
6%
15%
79%
|
43 | 83 | 40 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
TUP
2 - 2
CAL
67%
21%
13%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
GUA
0 - 0
CAL
55%
25%
20%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
CAL
0 - 2
PAT
34%
28%
38%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |