Tomás Greig vs Municipal Santiago analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
39.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tomás Greig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2018 |
TOM
1 - 4
BDS
45%
23%
31%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
MEJ
5 - 1
TOM
26%
23%
51%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | -2 |
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
TOM
1 - 1
TRA
51%
22%
27%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
OVA
1 - 1
TOM
34%
24%
42%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2018 |
MAC
5 - 4
TOM
21%
22%
57%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Municipal Santiago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
MSA
4 - 0
MAC
70%
18%
12%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
JOA
2 - 1
MSA
55%
22%
23%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
MSA
0 - 1
RAS
52%
24%
24%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
BDS
0 - 0
MSA
48%
24%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
MSA
2 - 0
DLI
42%
25%
33%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |