Tomás Greig vs Estación Central analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.5%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
19.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tomás Greig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
ACC
2 - 0
TOM
59%
21%
20%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2017 |
TOM
1 - 4
JOA
43%
24%
33%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
CHI
1 - 0
TOM
10%
17%
74%
|
51 | 29 | 22 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
TOM
0 - 2
LIM
60%
21%
19%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
MEJ
0 - 0
TOM
17%
20%
63%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Estación Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2017 |
BDS
2 - 2
EST
54%
22%
23%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
EST
1 - 1
LAU
36%
24%
40%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
DLI
5 - 1
EST
43%
25%
31%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
FVC
3 - 0
EST
69%
19%
12%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
EST
0 - 1
ACC
41%
25%
34%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |