Tom' Tomsk II vs Sibir Novosibirsk II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
12.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tom' Tomsk II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
TOM
0 - 2
IRT
40%
24%
36%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
FCC
0 - 2
TOM
70%
19%
11%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | +3 |
| 30 Jul. 2014 |
RAD
2 - 0
TOM
61%
21%
19%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2014 |
TOM
4 - 1
SME
23%
24%
53%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | +6 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
TOM
1 - 5
YAK
33%
23%
43%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -3 |
Matches
Sibir Novosibirsk II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
SIB
0 - 1
RAD
16%
22%
62%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
SIB
2 - 3
FCC
20%
26%
55%
|
23 | 45 | 22 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
YAK
2 - 1
SIB
74%
15%
10%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2014 |
SME
0 - 1
SIB
75%
17%
8%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2014 |
SIB
2 - 2
MET
15%
24%
61%
|
22 | 52 | 30 | 0 |