Liga MX Finals Cl. Semi-finals
Global 5-3
Toluca vs Tijuana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
18%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2018 |
TIJ
2 - 1
TOL
38%
27%
35%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
TOL
2 - 2
MOR
59%
23%
18%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2018 |
MOR
2 - 2
TOL
40%
27%
34%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
TIJ
1 - 0
TOL
32%
27%
42%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
TOL
3 - 0
VER
74%
18%
9%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Tijuana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2018 |
TIJ
2 - 1
TOL
38%
27%
35%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
MON
1 - 2
TIJ
67%
19%
14%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2018 |
TIJ
1 - 1
MON
33%
26%
41%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
TIJ
1 - 0
TOL
32%
27%
42%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
LEO
1 - 1
TIJ
60%
22%
19%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |