Toluca vs Tigres UANL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
27.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
AME
1 - 1
TOL
50%
25%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
TOL
3 - 1
EST
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
SNL
5 - 1
TOL
39%
28%
34%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
TOL
0 - 1
QRO
65%
21%
14%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2011 |
CAZ
0 - 0
TOL
56%
23%
21%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Tigres UANL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
TIG
1 - 0
QRO
61%
23%
16%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
CAZ
1 - 1
TIG
51%
25%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2011 |
TIG
3 - 1
SAN
45%
26%
30%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 1
TIG
59%
22%
19%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2011 |
TIG
1 - 0
QRO
62%
22%
16%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |