Toluca vs Tigres UANL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
20.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
QRO
2 - 1
TOL
22%
26%
52%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
TOL
2 - 0
MOR
60%
21%
19%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
PAC
1 - 0
TOL
38%
26%
36%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2004 |
TOL
2 - 1
JAG
79%
14%
8%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
ATL
0 - 1
TOL
42%
25%
34%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Tigres UANL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
TIG
3 - 1
IRA
70%
19%
11%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
TIG
1 - 2
QRO
74%
17%
9%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
MOR
1 - 2
TIG
48%
24%
28%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
TIG
3 - 3
PAC
51%
25%
24%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2004 |
JAG
4 - 2
TIG
26%
27%
47%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | -1 |