Toluca vs Santos Laguna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
23.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2018 |
PUE
2 - 0
TOL
30%
27%
42%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
TOL
2 - 1
MON
48%
24%
28%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2018 |
TOL
2 - 0
SAN
56%
22%
22%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
NEC
0 - 0
TOL
32%
26%
42%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
TOL
1 - 1
CAZ
63%
21%
16%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Santos Laguna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2018 |
SAN
5 - 1
LEO
50%
25%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
CHI
0 - 2
SAN
41%
27%
33%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2018 |
TOL
2 - 0
SAN
56%
22%
22%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 0
TIJ
55%
23%
22%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2018 |
VER
1 - 1
SAN
22%
25%
53%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |