Toluca vs Querétaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.7%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
10.2%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
EST
2 - 1
TOL
49%
25%
26%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2009 |
TOL
1 - 1
DCU
62%
21%
16%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
TOL
1 - 1
TIG
60%
22%
18%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
TOL
1 - 1
SNL
57%
24%
20%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2009 |
MAR
2 - 0
TOL
35%
26%
39%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Querétaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
QRO
2 - 1
CAZ
23%
25%
52%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
ATS
0 - 1
QRO
64%
22%
14%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
QRO
3 - 1
IND
28%
26%
46%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | +2 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
MOR
5 - 0
QRO
70%
19%
11%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
QRO
0 - 0
AME
25%
26%
50%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | +1 |