Toluca vs Puebla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
14.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
MOR
1 - 3
TOL
35%
26%
40%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2018 |
AME
3 - 2
TOL
51%
25%
25%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2018 |
TOL
2 - 2
AME
44%
25%
31%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
LOB
2 - 0
TOL
21%
25%
54%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
TOL
0 - 1
PUM
61%
21%
17%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Puebla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2019 |
TAM
3 - 2
PUE
26%
24%
50%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
PUE
1 - 1
CAZ
31%
27%
42%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2018 |
PUE
2 - 1
CAÑ
66%
21%
14%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
PUE
0 - 0
TIJ
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
TIG
6 - 1
PUE
70%
19%
11%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |