Toluca vs Puebla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
15.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2014 |
TOL
3 - 1
CHI
64%
22%
14%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
QRO
1 - 1
TOL
39%
27%
34%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
PUM
1 - 2
TOL
41%
28%
32%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
TOL
1 - 0
MON
50%
24%
25%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
TOL
2 - 2
PUM
62%
22%
16%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Puebla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2014 |
PUE
1 - 2
PUM
45%
28%
28%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2014 |
CHI
0 - 0
PUE
41%
28%
32%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2014 |
MOR
3 - 0
PUE
55%
23%
22%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
PUE
1 - 1
JAG
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
PUE
2 - 1
MOR
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |