Toluca vs Puebla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
18.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
JAG
2 - 0
TOL
40%
27%
34%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
TOL
1 - 1
AME
45%
25%
30%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
PUE
1 - 0
TOL
40%
26%
34%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
TIG
1 - 1
TOL
53%
24%
22%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2012 |
TOL
4 - 1
IRA
71%
18%
11%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Puebla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
PUE
2 - 3
MON
34%
27%
40%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 1
PUE
44%
27%
30%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
PUE
1 - 0
TOL
40%
26%
34%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
PUE
1 - 0
SNL
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
LOB
0 - 2
PUE
34%
24%
42%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |