Toluca vs Pachuca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
37.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2022 |
AUR
1 - 0
TOL
35%
26%
39%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
TOL
1 - 1
MON
41%
24%
35%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
CAZ
2 - 3
TOL
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
TOL
3 - 1
TIJ
59%
22%
19%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2022 |
TOL
1 - 1
PUE
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Pachuca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
PAC
3 - 1
ATS
52%
25%
23%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2022 |
PAC
1 - 0
LEO
48%
25%
27%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
PAC
0 - 3
AME
43%
26%
31%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2022 |
PAC
2 - 0
TIG
44%
27%
29%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
CHI
0 - 0
PAC
34%
25%
40%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |