Toluca vs Pachuca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
25.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
VER
2 - 3
TOL
36%
28%
37%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
NEC
1 - 2
TOL
39%
28%
33%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2008 |
TOL
1 - 1
CAZ
47%
26%
27%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
SNL
2 - 0
TOL
41%
27%
32%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
TOL
2 - 0
TIG
59%
23%
18%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Pachuca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
PAC
1 - 4
CAZ
44%
26%
29%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
SNL
2 - 1
PAC
39%
25%
36%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2008 |
PAC
6 - 1
TIG
56%
24%
20%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
SAN
2 - 1
PAC
51%
24%
25%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
PAC
1 - 0
ATS
52%
24%
24%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |