Toluca vs Monterrey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
35.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
CAZ
2 - 3
TOL
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
TOL
3 - 1
TIJ
59%
22%
19%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2022 |
TOL
1 - 1
PUE
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
JUA
1 - 1
TOL
27%
26%
47%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
LEO
0 - 1
TOL
58%
22%
20%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
NEC
1 - 2
MON
29%
26%
45%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
MON
5 - 1
LEO
45%
26%
29%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
PUM
1 - 1
MON
34%
26%
40%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
MON
1 - 0
PUE
48%
26%
27%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2022 |
QRO
0 - 3
MON
24%
25%
51%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |