Toluca vs Monterrey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
28.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2018 |
TOL
2 - 0
SAN
56%
22%
22%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
NEC
0 - 0
TOL
32%
26%
42%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
TOL
1 - 1
CAZ
63%
21%
16%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 1
TOL
43%
26%
32%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
ATS
1 - 3
TOL
27%
27%
45%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
MON
5 - 1
LEO
60%
22%
19%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
CHI
1 - 2
MON
35%
26%
39%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2018 |
MON
3 - 1
UAT
75%
17%
9%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
MON
0 - 0
TIJ
65%
20%
15%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2018 |
DOR
1 - 2
MON
22%
25%
53%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |