Toluca vs Monterrey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
27.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2017 |
TOL
0 - 2
CAZ
63%
21%
16%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
PUM
0 - 1
TOL
45%
25%
30%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
TOL
2 - 0
NEC
66%
20%
14%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | +2 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
TOL
1 - 4
TIG
53%
25%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
LEO
2 - 3
TOL
47%
25%
29%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 2
MON
40%
24%
36%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
MON
4 - 1
JAG
77%
15%
8%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2017 |
MON
1 - 2
CHI
62%
22%
16%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
AME
1 - 0
MON
45%
25%
31%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
MON
2 - 0
ATS
74%
17%
9%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |