Toluca vs Mazatlán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
13.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
CAZ
4 - 0
TOL
52%
24%
25%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
TIJ
0 - 2
TOL
32%
27%
42%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
TOL
3 - 1
TIG
46%
25%
30%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
JUA
1 - 3
TOL
32%
27%
42%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2021 |
TOL
5 - 3
ATL
71%
17%
12%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Mazatlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
LEO
3 - 0
MAZ
74%
15%
11%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
MAZ
1 - 1
MON
33%
24%
43%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
MAZ
2 - 1
PAC
34%
24%
42%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2021 |
CAZ
0 - 2
MAZ
73%
16%
11%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
MON
1 - 0
MAZ
73%
16%
12%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | -1 |