Toluca vs Mazatlán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.9%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
13.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
CAZ
4 - 0
TOL
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
TIJ
0 - 2
TOL
33%
26%
41%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
TOL
3 - 1
TIG
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
JUA
1 - 3
TOL
33%
26%
41%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2021 |
TOL
5 - 3
ATL
72%
17%
11%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Mazatlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
LEO
3 - 0
MAZ
72%
16%
12%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
MAZ
1 - 1
MON
38%
25%
38%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
MAZ
2 - 1
PAC
33%
24%
43%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2021 |
CAZ
0 - 2
MAZ
71%
17%
12%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
MON
1 - 0
MAZ
72%
16%
12%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |