Toluca vs Irapuato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.2%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.7%
6.2%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2001 |
TIG
1 - 1
TOL
57%
22%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2001 |
TOL
4 - 3
PAC
55%
22%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2001 |
AME
3 - 1
TOL
59%
21%
20%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2001 |
TOL
3 - 1
MOR
57%
21%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2001 |
ATL
2 - 2
TOL
40%
26%
34%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Irapuato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
IRA
2 - 3
NEC
24%
26%
50%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2001 |
LEO
2 - 2
IRA
67%
20%
13%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2001 |
IRA
0 - 0
PUM
26%
26%
48%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2001 |
CAZ
2 - 3
IRA
85%
10%
5%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2001 |
IRA
6 - 1
REB
50%
23%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |