Toluca vs Tecos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
27.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2009 |
CHI
1 - 2
TOL
48%
26%
26%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
TOL
1 - 0
IND
59%
23%
19%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
PUE
0 - 2
TOL
42%
28%
30%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
TOL
1 - 0
PUM
54%
25%
21%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
AME
2 - 2
TOL
44%
27%
28%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Tecos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2009 |
EST
1 - 0
SAN
52%
23%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
NEC
1 - 3
EST
45%
26%
29%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
EST
2 - 3
MON
62%
21%
18%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
EST
1 - 0
CAZ
53%
23%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
CHI
1 - 0
EST
47%
24%
29%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |