Toluca vs América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
24.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 0
TOL
53%
24%
23%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
TOL
1 - 1
MON
47%
26%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
PUM
0 - 0
TOL
46%
26%
28%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
TOL
1 - 1
JAG
58%
24%
19%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
CHI
3 - 1
TOL
43%
27%
31%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
AME
2 - 0
CAZ
43%
25%
32%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
ATS
1 - 0
AME
41%
27%
32%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
AME
1 - 0
IND
62%
22%
17%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
MOR
2 - 0
AME
51%
25%
25%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
AME
5 - 1
SNL
57%
23%
20%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |