Liga MX Sub 18 - Apertura Round 5

Toluca U19 vs Mazatlán U19 analysis

Toluca U19 Mazatlán U19
41 ELO 44
-0.6% Tilt -2.3%
4919º General ELO ranking 5541º
79º Country ELO ranking 92º
ELO win probability
49%
Toluca U19
23.5%
Draw
27.5%
Mazatlán U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
Toluca U19
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
27.6%
Win probability
Mazatlán U19
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Toluca U19
+6%
+33%
Mazatlán U19

ELO progression

Toluca U19
Mazatlán U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Toluca U19
Toluca U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Aug. 2021
CRZ
Cruz Azul U19
0 - 0
Toluca U19
TOL
40%
25%
36%
43 39 4 0
06 Aug. 2021
XOL
Tijuana U18
3 - 0
Toluca U19
TOL
42%
24%
34%
44 41 3 -1
01 Aug. 2021
TOL
Toluca U19
4 - 0
Tigres UANL U19
TIG
51%
23%
26%
42 42 0 +2
23 Jul. 2021
JUA
FC Juárez U19
1 - 2
Toluca U19
TOL
33%
22%
45%
42 36 6 0

Matches

Mazatlán U19
Mazatlán U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Aug. 2021
LEO
León U19
1 - 1
Mazatlán U19
MAZ
55%
22%
23%
43 45 2 0
06 Aug. 2021
MAZ
Mazatlán U19
2 - 1
Monterrey U19
MON
70%
16%
14%
42 33 9 +1
30 Jul. 2021
MAZ
Mazatlán U19
1 - 1
Pachuca U19
PAC
33%
25%
43%
41 48 7 +1
26 Jul. 2021
CRZ
Cruz Azul U19
1 - 1
Mazatlán U19
MAZ
41%
24%
35%
42 39 3 -1