Tercera Division IV - Basque Country Round 12

Tolosa CF vs Sestao River analysis

Tolosa CF Sestao River
26 ELO 42
-16.1% Tilt -11.1%
12144º General ELO ranking 2225º
1460º Country ELO ranking 71º
ELO win probability
16.8%
Tolosa CF
22%
Draw
61.2%
Sestao River

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.7%
Win probability
Tolosa CF
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
61.2%
Win probability
Sestao River
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Tolosa CF
+2%
+15%
Sestao River

ELO progression

Tolosa CF
Sestao River
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Tolosa CF
Tolosa CF
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Dec. 2020
TOL
Tolosa CF
2 - 0
Deusto
DEU
30%
24%
46%
26 30 4 0
19 Dec. 2020
BEA
Beasain KE
1 - 0
Tolosa CF
TOL
60%
21%
19%
26 32 6 0
12 Dec. 2020
TOL
Tolosa CF
0 - 0
Balmaseda FC
BFC
39%
26%
34%
26 29 3 0
05 Dec. 2020
AUR
Aurrera KE
1 - 1
Tolosa CF
TOL
29%
25%
46%
26 22 4 0
28 Nov. 2020
TOL
Tolosa CF
4 - 0
Urgatzi KK
IKE
61%
20%
19%
25 20 5 +1

Matches

Sestao River
Sestao River
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Jan. 2021
RSO
Real Sociedad C
1 - 2
Sestao River
SES
30%
24%
46%
41 34 7 0
20 Dec. 2020
SES
Sestao River
2 - 0
SD Gernika
GER
31%
27%
43%
39 44 5 +2
15 Dec. 2020
SES
Sestao River
0 - 2
Tenerife
CDT
5%
15%
80%
39 73 34 0
09 Dec. 2020
BFC
Balmaseda FC
1 - 3
Sestao River
SES
29%
25%
47%
38 31 7 +1
05 Dec. 2020
DEU
Deusto
2 - 1
Sestao River
SES
19%
23%
58%
40 28 12 -2