Tolosa CF vs SCD Durango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
29.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tolosa CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1986 |
SDA
3 - 0
TOL
67%
20%
13%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1986 |
TOL
4 - 0
BAR
21%
27%
52%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | +5 |
| 06 Apr. 1986 |
GER
4 - 0
TOL
59%
24%
17%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1986 |
TOL
2 - 2
ARE
56%
26%
18%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1986 |
ORT
1 - 3
TOL
30%
29%
42%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
SCD Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1986 |
CDU
2 - 0
RUN
59%
22%
19%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1986 |
HER
1 - 0
CDU
41%
27%
32%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1986 |
CDU
4 - 1
SFC
69%
19%
12%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1986 |
SDE
4 - 2
CDU
57%
23%
20%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1986 |
CDU
2 - 0
MUT
77%
15%
8%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |