Tolosa CF vs Aurrera KE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
37.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tolosa CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
ALA
5 - 0
TOL
77%
15%
8%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
TOL
1 - 2
BEA
35%
27%
38%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
SNT
1 - 0
TOL
39%
27%
34%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
TOL
0 - 2
CDU
45%
26%
29%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2021 |
TOL
2 - 2
SNT
50%
26%
24%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Aurrera KE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
AUR
1 - 4
LEI
23%
24%
53%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
URD
3 - 0
AUR
38%
26%
37%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
LON
2 - 3
AUR
44%
27%
29%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
AUR
1 - 1
SNT
51%
26%
23%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
CDU
0 - 0
AUR
41%
26%
33%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |