Tokyo Verdy vs Cerezo Osaka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
50.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tokyo Verdy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
MAT
2 - 0
TOK
54%
25%
21%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2016 |
TOK
2 - 2
REN
35%
26%
39%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
TOK
1 - 1
EHI
35%
29%
36%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
CON
1 - 2
TOK
70%
19%
11%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
MON
1 - 0
TOK
29%
27%
45%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Cerezo Osaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
CER
1 - 0
EHI
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2016 |
JEF
3 - 0
CER
27%
27%
46%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
CER
2 - 2
MIT
73%
18%
10%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
CER
2 - 2
MON
81%
14%
5%
|
68 | 46 | 22 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
FAG
1 - 1
CER
36%
29%
36%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |