Tokushima Vortis vs Fagiano Okayama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
10.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tokushima Vortis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
KAT
2 - 3
TOK
36%
29%
35%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
TOK
0 - 0
EHI
70%
19%
11%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
TOK
0 - 3
OIT
38%
28%
34%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
YOK
1 - 2
TOK
39%
29%
32%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
TOK
3 - 1
JEF
34%
26%
40%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Fagiano Okayama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
FAG
0 - 1
THE
36%
27%
37%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
FAG
2 - 1
JEF
14%
24%
62%
|
46 | 68 | 22 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
OIT
1 - 0
FAG
76%
17%
7%
|
46 | 70 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
FAG
1 - 2
TOC
43%
27%
31%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
CON
2 - 0
FAG
75%
17%
8%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |