Tokushima Vortis vs Fagiano Okayama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
16.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tokushima Vortis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2009 |
THE
1 - 1
TOK
50%
26%
24%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2009 |
TOK
2 - 1
VEN
29%
27%
45%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2009 |
GIF
3 - 0
TOK
40%
29%
31%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2009 |
TOK
2 - 0
YOK
57%
23%
19%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
CON
1 - 1
TOK
67%
20%
13%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Fagiano Okayama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2009 |
FAG
2 - 3
ROA
35%
27%
39%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2009 |
KAT
1 - 2
FAG
60%
23%
18%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2009 |
FAG
0 - 1
MIT
36%
27%
37%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
FAG
0 - 0
GIF
41%
26%
33%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
YOK
1 - 0
FAG
49%
25%
25%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |