TOGB vs Nieuwkoop analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
23.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TOGB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
TOG
1 - 3
UVS
24%
22%
54%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
SJC
4 - 3
TOG
84%
10%
6%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
TOG
1 - 3
ALP
15%
19%
67%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
PFC
2 - 2
TOG
28%
23%
50%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
TOG
3 - 3
KOC
22%
22%
56%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Nieuwkoop
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
NIE
4 - 1
SJC
8%
14%
79%
|
11 | 30 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
ALP
5 - 1
NIE
89%
8%
3%
|
11 | 38 | 27 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
NIE
3 - 1
PFC
24%
22%
54%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
KOC
6 - 1
NIE
84%
11%
5%
|
10 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
NIE
3 - 2
HMS
12%
18%
70%
|
8 | 20 | 12 | +2 |