Toen FS vs UP Taboadela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
10.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toen FS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
CEN
1 - 2
TOE
12%
18%
70%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
TOE
2 - 1
COR
65%
19%
16%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
SAN
2 - 2
TOE
50%
21%
29%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
TOE
5 - 0
LOB
80%
13%
7%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
RUA
0 - 1
TOE
18%
20%
62%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
UP Taboadela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
TAB
0 - 2
COL
13%
20%
66%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
ROC
1 - 2
TAB
61%
20%
19%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
RAL
1 - 1
TAB
54%
22%
24%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
TAB
1 - 1
CEN
46%
24%
30%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
COR
2 - 0
TAB
61%
19%
20%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |