Toen FS vs UP Taboadela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
10.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toen FS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
CEN
1 - 2
TOE
14%
19%
67%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
TOE
2 - 1
COR
65%
19%
16%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
SAN
2 - 2
TOE
48%
21%
31%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
TOE
5 - 0
LOB
78%
14%
8%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
RUA
0 - 1
TOE
19%
20%
61%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
UP Taboadela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
TAB
0 - 2
COL
14%
21%
66%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
ROC
1 - 2
TAB
62%
19%
19%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +2 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
RAL
1 - 1
TAB
50%
22%
27%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
TAB
1 - 1
CEN
44%
24%
32%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
COR
2 - 0
TAB
61%
19%
20%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |