Todi Calcio vs AS Deruta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
19.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Todi Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
TOD
2 - 0
FLA
54%
23%
23%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
SSD
0 - 2
TOD
54%
23%
24%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
TOD
0 - 0
ASD
59%
21%
20%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
PON
1 - 1
TOD
48%
25%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
TOD
0 - 2
VOL
50%
23%
26%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
AS Deruta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
ASD
1 - 0
DER
61%
21%
18%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
DER
1 - 1
ZAG
60%
21%
19%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
SPO
0 - 2
DER
50%
24%
27%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
DER
0 - 1
PIE
48%
24%
28%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
ASD
1 - 1
DER
43%
26%
31%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |