Tocha vs Ançã FC analysis


21	ELO	14
-7.8%	Tilt	-12.9%
20252º	General ELO ranking	25320º
331º	Country ELO ranking	514º
ELO win probability

73.7%

Tocha

16.1%

Draw

10.3%

Ançã FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

73.7%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%

16.1%

Draw

0-0

3.8%

1-1

7.6%

2-2

3.8%

3-3

0.8%

4-4

0.1%

0

16.1%

10.3%
Win probability

                        
                    
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

-50%

+56%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Tocha

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
12 Oct. 2014	EIR 1 - 0 TOC 16% 21% 63%	23	10	13	0
05 Oct. 2014	TOC 1 - 3 PAM 77% 15% 8%	25	13	12	-2
28 Sep. 2014	LAG 0 - 0 TOC 11% 19% 70%	26	8	18	-1
28 Apr. 2013	TOC 0 - 0 CES 30% 24% 45%	27	35	8	-1
21 Apr. 2013	ANA 2 - 0 TOC 63% 20% 16%	27	36	9	0